PREDICTIONS
Best Picture- The Social Network
Best Director- David Fincher, The Social Network
Actress in a Leading Role- Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Actor in a Leading Role- Colin Firth, The Kings Speech
Actress in a Supporting Role- Helena Bonham Carter, The Kings Speech
Actor in a Supporting Role- Geoffrey Rush, The Kings Speech
WHO SHOULD WIN
Best Picture- Black Swan

Best Director- Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
This movie would never have been possible if not for Aronofsky's brilliance. Everything down to the costumes, soundtrack, and camera angles were tailored perfectly by this director to suit the story. A great movie requires a director with great vision, and no other director this year demonstrated the perfection of his craft the way Darren Aronofsky did.
Best Actress in a Leading Role- Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Prior to this movie, I was never a big fan of Natalie Portman. I didn't think she was terrible, she just never really struck me as anything noteworthy. This film completely changed that. Her performance demonstrated an ability to show a wide range of emotion and believability (as well as become a halfway decent ballerina in just a few months). She was real, intense, complex, twisted, and raw, and if the Oscar goes to any other Actress, it will truly be a travesty.
Best Actor in a Leading Role- Colin Firth, The Kings Speech
Hollywood has a very successful tradition of outstanding performances by actors and actresses portraying disabilities (Dustin Hoffman in Rain Man, Al Pacino in The Scent of a Woman, Patty Duke in The Miracle Worker, etc.), but few have been as outstanding as Colin Firths portrayal of King George VI of Britain, who was plagued for much of his life by a stammer. His performance was unique in that his frustration with his speech condition radiated off the screen in a way that made the audience connect with him on a much more deep and emotional level, making his character so much more than just the "guy on the screen."
Actress in a Supporting Role- Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit

Actor in a Supporting Role- Christian Bale, The Fighter
This was possibly my favorite acting performance of the year. I can't imagine that it's easy to play a once-promising boxer now nearly homeless and addicted to crack, but Bale brought a level of emotion and intensity to the role that overshadowed the rest of the cast (though Amy Adams and Mark Whalberg were also excellent) by leaps and bounds. He was equal parts eccentric, funny, fierce, and provided the key ingredient to making a boxing movie that wasn't just another Rocky or Cinderella Man, but a unique masterpiece with a truly compelling message.